伊朗被曝打算先发制人摧毁美军基地，特朗普就是个软柿子
有消息称，伊朗革命卫队内部正在兜售一项新的观点，对迪戈加西亚的美国军事基地进行先发制人的打击，原因是担心该基地可能很快会被用作针对伊朗的军事行动的发射基地。
近段时间，美国已经增加了对迪戈加西亚基地的部署，现在总共有7架B-2战斗机，伊朗军方的判断不能说没有道理。
但要说先发制人打击美国目标，可能性微乎其微。
但是这种观点反映出了一个问题，即伊朗方面一点都不害怕特朗普，特朗普又是威胁伊朗，又是轰炸也门，但伊朗依然认为特朗普只是软柿子，没什么好怕的，顶多就是打一仗，但是你敢美国敢像当年打伊拉克那样，直接出兵中东吗？
这个逻辑就是光脚的不怕穿鞋的，而且打击美军基地这种事，伊朗又不是没干过，先发制人不可能，但真的遭到轰炸，完全有可能通过攻击迪戈加西亚基地来进行报复。
实际上，以色列和哈马斯、真主党打了一年多，加上叙利亚变天，伊朗的实力受到了不小的冲击，但是这也改变了伊朗的战略，不再通过代理人与美国和以色列斗争，而是直接下场，正面硬刚，而没有了缓冲之后，美国还真不敢把伊朗怎么样。
说白了，伊朗能豁出去，美国豁不出去。
译文：
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps is considering a preemptive strike on the US military base in Diego Garcia, fearing it might be used for military actions against Iran.
Recently, the US has increased its deployment at Diego Garcia, now housing 7 B-2 stealth bombers. This move by Iran's military cannot be dismissed lightly.
However, such an act of aggression remains highly unlikely.
But this reflects a larger issue: Iran does not fear Trump, who has threatened and bombed Yemen, yet Iran still views him as a 'soft target'. They believe the US won't dare to invade the Middle East like they did in Iraq.
This logic reflects that those with nothing to lose are fearless. Although a preemptive strike is unlikely, Iran could retaliate if bombed.
In fact, after over a year of conflict involving Israel and Hamas, Hezbollah, and the changing situation in Syria, Iran's strength has been affected. But this has also altered their strategy from proxy warfare to direct confrontation. Without buffer zones, the US truly fears what they might do to Iran.
In short, Iran can afford to take risks, but the US cannot.
原文：https://www.toutiao.com/article/1828169095548928/
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