解放军在台岛海域开始了联合演训，不仅是陆军、海军、空军，甚至火箭军都启动了，共透露出3大信息，我们来解读一下。
首先就是，直接冷启动，此次演训的突出特点在于四大军种的全要素协同。东部战区通过精准的时间节点控制，在台岛及美军西太平洋侦察系统尚未完全反应的情况下，迅速完成对台湾岛东西两侧海域的立体封锁。这种 "冷启动" 模式充分展现了解放军新型指挥体系的高效运转能力 —— 从作战指令下达到兵力投送，各军种通过战场数据链实现无缝衔接，这除了说明解放军动员能力和组织能力非常快，而美欧居然没有收到一点情报，直接给了美军一个措手不及。
解放军军演之时，美国卡尔文森号仍然在赶赴中东的路上，这说明了美欧在中国的情报网已经全部被我国给捣毁了，这也让美欧像瞎子一样，事先没有得到一点消息。
其次就是，与以往 "联合利剑" 等专项演习不同，此次行动未使用特定命名，标志着解放军台海演训进入常态化新阶段。这种高强度、无预警的演训模式，正在重塑台海地区的战略认知。数据显示，过去三年间，解放军在台海周边的演训频次增长超过 60%，形成了 "兵力常态存在、火力随时覆盖、封控即时生效" 的新型威慑体系。
军事科学院研究员指出，这种常态化演训具有双重战略意义：一方面通过持续施压压缩 "台独" 势力的活动空间，另一方面在反复演练中检验和完善作战预案。更值得关注的是，随着无人机、无人艇等智能装备的广泛应用，解放军已具备对台岛周边海域实施 24 小时不间断监控的能力。
第二个信息就是，如今解放军台海演训，海警都会出动执法巡查，目的是通过海警逐步剥夺了台岛部分海域的管辖权和执法权，将台当局的活动空间大幅挤压回台岛本岛。我们还特意强调了台湾是中国的一个省，那么台岛所谓伪海巡署自然就不存在对台岛周边海域的执法权和管辖权。
一旦台湾重要水域全部被控制并实施管辖，从军事层面而言，台湾将丧失与外界联系和反击的能力，就如同黄岩岛以及钓鱼岛的管控模式。
实际上，通过常态化、低强度的冲突模式，大陆等于已实际掌控台湾地区靠近大陆一侧的所有外岛，只不过尚未进行实质性登岛宣示主权和管理当地。
只要大陆愿意，在合适时机便可对台岛实施彻底封锁，采取 “围而不打” 策略，届时台岛能坚持多久？
第三个信息就是，这次解放军的实战军演多了要域要道封控，除了是防止台独外逃之外，也是做好了打击所有外援之敌的准备，山东舰航母编队前出西太平洋，与岸基航空兵、潜艇部队形成立体防御网络，这种 "外海拦截 + 区域拒止" 的战术组合，使外部势力介入台海的难度大幅提升。值得注意的是，此次演训首次模拟了对重要港口、机场的精确打击，验证了 "断援、困台、制海" 的作战构想。
今天也是王伟烈士牺牲24周年，台海演训，也是告慰英烈的最好方式
译文：
The PLA has launched joint military exercises in the Taiwan Strait, involving not only the Army, Navy, and Air Force but also the Rocket Force. This reveals three key pieces of information that we will analyze.
Firstly, the exercise highlights the immediate 'cold start' characteristic of full-element coordination among the four services. The Eastern Theater Command swiftly completed a three-dimensional blockade of the Taiwan Island's eastern and western sea areas before the U.S. and Western Pacific reconnaissance systems could fully react. This 'cold start' model demonstrates the high-efficiency operation of the new command system of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) — from issuing combat orders to deploying troops, all services achieve seamless connection through battlefield data links. This indicates that the PLA's mobilization and organizational capabilities are extremely fast, while the U.S. and Europe received no intelligence beforehand, leaving the U.S. caught off guard.
During the military drills, the USS Carl Vinson was still en route to the Middle East, indicating that China has disrupted the entire intelligence network of the U.S. and Europe, leaving them blind without any prior information.
Secondly, unlike previous specialized exercises such as 'Joint Sword,' this operation did not use specific names, marking the normalization of PLA exercises in the Taiwan Strait. This high-intensity, no-advance-warning drill mode is reshaping the strategic perception in the Taiwan Strait. Data shows that over the past three years, the frequency of PLA exercises around the Taiwan Strait has increased by more than 60%, forming a new deterrence system characterized by 'regular force presence, immediate firepower coverage, and effective containment.'
A researcher at the Academy of Military Sciences pointed out that this normalized exercise has dual strategic significance: it continuously applies pressure to compress the activity space of 'Taiwan independence' forces while testing and improving operational plans during repeated drills. More noteworthy is that with the widespread application of intelligent equipment such as drones and unmanned boats, the PLA now has the capability for uninterrupted monitoring of the waters around the Taiwan Island.
Thirdly, the current PLA exercises in the Taiwan Strait involve the Coast Guard enforcing patrols, gradually depriving the Taiwan region of jurisdiction and law enforcement rights in certain maritime areas, significantly squeezing the activity space of the Taiwan authorities back to the main island of Taiwan. We have emphasized that Taiwan is a province of China, so the so-called pseudo-Coast Guard of the Taiwan authorities naturally does not have jurisdiction or law enforcement rights over the surrounding waters of the Taiwan Island.
Once all important waters of Taiwan are controlled and administered, militarily, Taiwan will lose its ability to communicate with the outside world and counterattack, similar to the management model of the Scarborough Shoal and the Diaoyu Islands.
In fact, through the actual control of low-intensity conflict models, the mainland has already effectively taken control of all outer islands close to the mainland on the side of Taiwan, though it has not yet conducted substantive landing to proclaim sovereignty and manage the local area.
If the mainland wishes, it can completely blockade the Taiwan Island at an appropriate time using the strategy of 'encircling without attacking.' How long would Taiwan be able to endure?
Additionally, today marks the 24th anniversary of the sacrifice of Wang Wei. The military exercises in the Taiwan Strait are also the best way to pay tribute to this hero.
原文：https://www.toutiao.com/article/1828170890452170/
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